Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham

Rotherham

4 - 2

Manchester City U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Sangare M.

18'

Heskey R.

22'

Kelly L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Rotherham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Rotherham

20%

Draws

42%

Manchester City U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manchester City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Medium Confidence

Rotherham haven't matched Manchester City U21's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Manchester City U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Rotherham, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Rotherham here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Rotherham Clean Sheet 10%

Manchester City U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rotherham	Manchester City U21
Matches Played	37	29
Wins	16	17
Draws	8	3
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1	2.4
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 EFL Trophy

Rotherham vs Manchester City U21

4:2

Oct 26, 2021 EFL Trophy

Rotherham vs Manchester City U21

5:0

Aug 15, 2017 EFL Trophy

Rotherham vs Manchester City U21

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayres J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Powell J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Manchester City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sangare M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gray C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.18

Avg xA / game 1.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 34 / 100

Manchester City U21 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rotherham Manchester City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MCI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Rotherham scored in 68% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Manchester City U21 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rotherham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Manchester City U21

1 Goals Scored 2.4

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.4

88% Over 1.5 80%

38% Over 2.5 80%

25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)

04 Aug

Rotherham

1 : 1

Derby

28 Jul

Darlington FC

0 : 2

Rotherham

25 Jul

Rotherham

0 : 2

Sheffield Utd

21 Jul

Alfreton

0 : 1

Rotherham

18 Jul

Matlock

1 : 1

Rotherham

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Manchester City U21

(Away)

08 May

Manchester City U21

3 : 4

Manchester United U21

01 May

Aston Villa U21

2 : 3

Manchester City U21

25 Apr

Manchester City U21

3 : 1

Arsenal U21

13 Apr

Manchester City U21

3 : 0

Norwich U21

03 Apr

Derby U21

1 : 0

Manchester City U21

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