Sport Picks

Rotherham vs Newcastle Utd U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham

Newcastle Utd U21

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Rotherham at 1.03 goals for, 1.63 against; Newcastle Utd U21 at 1.17 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Rotherham slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2024, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.06, favoring Rotherham. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Rotherham

15%

Draws

26%

Newcastle Utd U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rotherham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Rotherham lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Utd U21.
Rotherham are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Rotherham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Rotherham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Rotherham Clean Sheet 20%

Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rotherham	Newcastle Utd U21
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	8	7
Draws	9	5
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	1.03	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2024 EFL Trophy

Rotherham vs Newcastle Utd U21

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 36 / 100

Newcastle Utd U21 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rotherham Newcastle Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Rotherham scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Rotherham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Newcastle Utd U21

1.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)

06 Oct

Rotherham

0 : 4

Bradford City

03 Oct

Exeter

1 : 0

Rotherham

26 Sept

Rotherham

1 : 1

Crewe

22 Sept

York City

1 : 2

Rotherham

19 Sept

Northampton

0 : 1

Rotherham

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Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)

06 Oct

Solihull Moors

2 : 1

Newcastle Utd U21

22 Sept

Bradford City

2 : 1

Newcastle Utd U21

19 Sept

Leeds U21

2 : 0

Newcastle Utd U21

15 Sept

York City

1 : 3

Newcastle Utd U21

08 Sept

Boreham Wood

2 : 1

Newcastle Utd U21

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