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Rotherham vs Newport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mullin P.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Nemane A.
Assist: Fitzgerald J.
16'
Jellis J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Rotherham
35%
Draws
46%
Newport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Newport have won more games recently than Rotherham.
  • Newport are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 11%
Newport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham Newport
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2026 League Two
Rotherham vs Newport
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Newport Compare

Top Goalscorer Garner G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 27 / 100
Newport 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham Newport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rotherham scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Newport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Rotherham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Newport
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
03 Nov
Rotherham
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1
Rotherham
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3
Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Rotherham
2 : 2
Newport
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

Newport

(Away)
03 Nov
Newport
1 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1
Chesterfield
24 Oct
Cheltenham
1 : 0
Newport
20 Oct
Rotherham
2 : 2
Newport
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1
York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)