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Rotherham vs Shrewsbury - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mullin P.
Assist: Eyestone J.
18' Event
Mullin P.
Assist: Nemane A.
21'
Spence K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Rotherham
30%
Draws
58%
Shrewsbury
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shrewsbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Rotherham haven't matched Shrewsbury's recent run of results.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 10%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham Shrewsbury
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 League Two
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 League One
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 League One
Shrewsbury vs Rotherham
1:1
Mar 19, 2022 League One
Rotherham vs Shrewsbury
0:3
Mar 1, 2022 League One
Shrewsbury vs Rotherham
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Mullin P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bradshaw T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Shrewsbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Davison J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruffels J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 34 / 100
Shrewsbury 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham Shrewsbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shrewsbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotherham found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Shrewsbury's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Rotherham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Shrewsbury
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
03 Nov
Rotherham
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1
Rotherham
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3
Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Rotherham
2 : 2
Newport
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

Shrewsbury

(Away)
31 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 2
Gillingham
27 Oct
Shrewsbury
2 : 1
Everton U21
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3
Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3
Shrewsbury
17 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 14 10 1 3 25:15 31
2 Barnet 13 7 5 1 28:18 26
3 Walsall 13 5 7 1 21:12 22
4 Crewe 14 5 7 2 17:17 22
5 Cheltenham 14 6 3 5 23:25 21
6 Grimsby 14 5 5 4 24:18 20
7 York City 14 5 5 4 24:21 20
8 Gillingham 14 5 5 4 20:19 20
9 Accrington 14 4 7 3 23:17 19
10 Chesterfield 14 5 4 5 24:21 19
11 Tranmere 14 4 7 3 19:17 19
12 Exeter 14 5 4 5 11:9 19
13 Swindon 14 5 4 5 15:17 19
14 Newport 14 4 6 4 20:17 18
15 Shrewsbury 14 5 3 6 17:22 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 4 5 5 18:18 17
17 Bristol Rovers 14 5 1 8 17:23 16
18 Oldham 14 4 3 7 15:19 15
19 Port Vale 12 4 3 5 10:14 15
20 Rochdale 14 4 3 7 17:26 15
21 Northampton 13 3 5 5 9:10 14
22 Rotherham 14 2 6 6 18:25 12
23 Colchester 13 2 6 5 12:19 12
24 Crawley Town 12 2 3 7 13:21 9
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)