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Rothes vs Nairn County

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rothes play Nairn County in the Highland League 2025/2026. Nairn County are favorites here. Recently, Rothes averaged 0.9 goals scored and 3.87 conceded. Nairn County averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Rothes won 1, Nairn County won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Rothes and 2.63 for Nairn County. This points to a Nairn County double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Rothes
15%
Draws
71%
Nairn County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rothes picked up more points recently compared to Nairn County.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Rothes Clean Sheet 10%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rothes Nairn County
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.66
Goals Conceded 3.87 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Highland League
Rothes vs Nairn County
0:4
Sep 13, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Rothes
4:0
Dec 28, 2024 Highland League
Rothes vs Nairn County
1:4
Aug 16, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Rothes
2:3
Dec 30, 2023 Highland League
Rothes vs Nairn County
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rothes 15 / 100
Nairn County 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rothes Nairn County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nairn County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nairn County & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rothes attacking → ← attacking Nairn County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rothes scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Nairn County let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Rothes went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nairn County lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 40
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
4.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347