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Rotkreuz vs Chiasso

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Capellini V.
(Penalty)
33' Event
Allou N.
79'
Mpon B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Rotkreuz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Rotkreuz
15%
Draws
37%
Chiasso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rotkreuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Chiasso's 1.46 goals per match outpaces what Rotkreuz have produced (1.33).
  • Win probability leans Rotkreuz's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rotkreuz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rotkreuz Clean Sheet 13%
Chiasso Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotkreuz Chiasso
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 1
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.33 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2022 Swiss Cup
Rotkreuz vs Chiasso
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotkreuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Allou N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krasniqi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Chiasso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotkreuz 66 / 100
Chiasso 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotkreuz Chiasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotkreuz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rotkreuz scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Rotkreuz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chiasso has conceded goals in 54% of their last 13 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rotkreuz VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotkreuz

(Home)
14 Aug
Rotkreuz
4 : 1
Bellinzona
11 Jul
Baden
0 : 2
Rotkreuz
24 May
Rotkreuz
3 : 0
Prishtina Bern
17 May
Munsingen
2 : 0
Rotkreuz
10 May
Rotkreuz
0 : 1
Courtetelle
Page 1 of 6

Chiasso

(Away)
02 Aug
Varesina
2 : 2
Chiasso
26 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 0
Bulle
19 Nov
Chiasso
2 : 1
Breitenrain
12 Nov
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 1
Chiasso
05 Nov
Chiasso
0 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Rotkreuz 3
Chiasso 0
Gambarogno - Contone 0
Kriens 5
Ibach 1
Schaffhausen 5
Bavois 1
Yverdon 3
Subingen 0
Koniz 2
Wohlen 5
FC Kreuzlingen 4
La Chaux-De-Fonds 1
Solothurn 0
Stade Nyonnais 1
Servette 4
Portalban 1
Grand-Saconnex 0
Littau 0
Wil 6
Wiedikon 1
Rapperswil-Jona 2
Chenois 1
Sion 3
Bosporus 0
Breitenrain 3
Linth 1
Lugano 5
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Meyrin 2
Muri 0
Winterthur 7
Wittenbach 1
Arbedo-Castione 2
Affoltern am Albis 1
Sarmenstorf 2
Compesieres 0
Etoile-Carouge 5
Rorschach 0
St. Gallen 15
Sternenberg 2
Goldstern 4
Wettswil-Bonstetten 0
Grasshoppers 4
Bischofszell 0
Aarau 8
Allschwil 0
Basel 5
Audax-Friul 1
Xamax 5
Bulle 0
Thun 4
FC Widnau 1
Bellinzona 4
Schotz 0
Luzern 4
Gland 0
Lausanne 4
Cham 0
Zurich 4
CS Italien 2
Lausanne Ouchy 5
Schoenberg 1
Young Boys 10
1/16-finals
Rotkreuz 2
Kriens 1
Schaffhausen 4
Yverdon 1
Koniz 1
Wohlen 2
La Chaux-De-Fonds 0
Servette 2
Portalban 0
Wil 2
Rapperswil-Jona 0
Sion 2
Breitenrain 0
Lugano 4
Meyrin 0
Winterthur 4
Arbedo-Castione 6
Sarmenstorf 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
St. Gallen 4
Goldstern 0
Grasshoppers 3
Aarau 1
Basel 3
Xamax 1
Thun 2
Bellinzona 0
Luzern 1
Lausanne 3
Zurich 2
Lausanne Ouchy 0
Young Boys 1
1/8-finals
Rotkreuz 2
Schaffhausen 1
Wohlen 2
Servette 5
Wil 1
Sion 2
Lugano 1
Winterthur 0
Arbedo-Castione 0
St. Gallen 5
Grasshoppers 3
Basel 5
Thun 3
Luzern 2
Lausanne 1
Young Boys 5
Quarter-finals
Rotkreuz 0
Servette 3
Sion 0
Lugano 3
St. Gallen 1
Basel 2
Thun 0
Young Boys 5
Semi-finals
Servette 2
Lugano 3
Basel 2
Young Boys 4
Final
Lugano 2
Young Boys 3