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Rotlet Molinar vs Atletico Rafal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Rafal in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Rafal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rotlet Molinar
30%
Draws
23%
Atletico Rafal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rotlet Molinar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rotlet Molinar lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Rafal.
  • Model gives Rotlet Molinar a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotlet Molinar Atletico Rafal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.15 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Atletico Rafal
1:2
Nov 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Rotlet Molinar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotlet Molinar 84 / 100
Atletico Rafal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotlet Molinar Atletico Rafal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotlet Molinar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Rafal conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Rotlet Molinar's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Atletico Rafal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rotlet Molinar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotlet Molinar

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Rafal

(Away)
17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1
Atletico Rafal
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2
CD Son Cladera
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0
Atletico Rafal
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2
Mercadal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1
Atletico Rafal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 38 25 8 5 90:27 83
2 Pena Deportiva 38 24 8 6 75:33 80
3 Formentera 38 24 8 6 58:27 80
4 Binissalem 38 18 13 7 56:31 67
5 Mercadal 38 19 8 11 55:53 65
6 UD Poblense 38 17 13 8 60:35 64
7 Alcudia 38 16 12 10 59:41 60
8 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 17 3 18 47:51 54
9 Llosetense 38 15 9 14 54:53 54
10 Manacor 38 14 11 13 63:62 53
11 Collerense 38 16 5 17 60:60 53
12 Platges de Calvia 38 12 13 13 41:40 49
13 Campos 38 12 11 15 51:54 47
14 Ferriolense 38 12 9 17 41:50 45
15 Atletico Rafal 38 10 12 16 42:65 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 10 10 18 47:60 40
17 CD Montuiri 38 10 8 20 42:53 38
18 Rotlet Molinar 38 11 4 23 43:84 37
19 Felanitx 38 6 8 24 27:65 26
20 Santanyi 38 2 7 29 26:93 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)