Sport Picks
Rotlet Molinar vs Collerense
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 
Match Events
28'
28'
Coll R.
36'
36'
Segovia A.
52'
52'
Coll R.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Rotlet Molinar and Collerense finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Collerense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Collerense's 1.07 goals per match outpaces what Rotlet Molinar have produced (1.03).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%
Collerense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rotlet Molinar | Collerense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Collerense
2:5
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Rotlet Molinar
3:4
Feb 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Collerense
3:0
Oct 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Rotlet Molinar
1:0
Jan 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Rotlet Molinar
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rotlet Molinar Compare
Top Goalscorer Segovia A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cardeno J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Collerense Compare
Top Goalscorer Coll R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Abolafio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rotlet Molinar 34 / 100
Collerense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rotlet Molinar Collerense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Collerense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Collerense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Rotlet Molinar scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: Collerense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rotlet Molinar VS Collerense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rotlet Molinar
(Home) 10 May
Portmany
0 : 1 Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2 Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2 CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2 CD Son Cladera
28 Mar
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 2 Mallorca B
14 Mar
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 5 Formentera
Page 1 of 3
Collerense
(Away) 29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2 Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
02 Apr
CD Son Cladera
3 : 2 Collerense
21 Mar
Mallorca B
2 : 0 Collerense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
