Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rotlet Molinar vs Formentera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Losada F.
21' Event
Losada F.
47' Event
Ferreres Peris E.

AI Match Summary

Formentera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Formentera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Rotlet Molinar
30%
Draws
47%
Formentera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Formentera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Formentera have won more games recently than Rotlet Molinar.
  • Model gives Formentera a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Formentera here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%
Formentera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotlet Molinar Formentera
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Formentera
0:5
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Rotlet Molinar
1:0
Feb 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Rotlet Molinar
6:0
Dec 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Formentera
0:8
Mar 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Rotlet Molinar
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotlet Molinar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Losada F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreres Peris E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotlet Molinar 22 / 100
Formentera 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotlet Molinar Formentera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formentera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Rotlet Molinar scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Formentera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Rotlet Molinar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotlet Molinar VS Formentera
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotlet Molinar

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
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Formentera

(Away)
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0
Formentera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)