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Rotonda vs Fidelis Andria Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Brunet J.
39' Event
Cecere S.
49' Event
Bamba M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Rotonda and Fidelis Andria finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rotonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rotonda
20%
Draws
16%
Fidelis Andria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rotonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Fidelis Andria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Rotonda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 20%
Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotonda Fidelis Andria
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs Fidelis Andria
2:1
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Fidelis Andria vs Rotonda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunet J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bamba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Cecere S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotonda 49 / 100
Fidelis Andria 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotonda Fidelis Andria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotonda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotonda's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fidelis Andria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Fidelis Andria's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fidelis Andria
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotonda

(Home)
05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1
Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

Fidelis Andria

(Away)
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
3 : 2
Fidelis Andria
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)