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Rotonda vs Gallipoli Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Trinchera M.
33' Event
Trinchera M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Rotonda and Gallipoli finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rotonda
30%
Draws
23%
Gallipoli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rotonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rotonda come out ahead of Gallipoli on wins alone.
  • Rotonda are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 68%
Gallipoli Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotonda Gallipoli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs Gallipoli
1:1
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Gallipoli vs Rotonda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotonda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gallipoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Trinchera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotonda 77 / 100
Gallipoli 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotonda Gallipoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotonda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gallipoli has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Rotonda found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Gallipoli registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotonda VS Gallipoli
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotonda

(Home)
05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1
Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

Gallipoli

(Away)
12 May
Angri
2 : 0
Gallipoli
05 May
Martina Calcio
1 : 1
Gallipoli
28 Apr
Gallipoli
1 : 1
Angri
21 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Gallipoli
14 Apr
Gallipoli
0 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)