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Rotxapea vs Beti Kozkor

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

Rotxapea play Beti Kozkor in the Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rotxapea averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Beti Kozkor averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Rotxapea won 0, Beti Kozkor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 31, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Rotxapea and 0.99 for Beti Kozkor. This points to a Beti Kozkor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rotxapea
26%
Draws
52%
Beti Kozkor
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Beti Kozkor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Rotxapea picked up more points recently compared to Beti Kozkor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Rotxapea Clean Sheet 23%
Beti Kozkor Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotxapea Beti Kozkor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Rotxapea vs Beti Kozkor
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Beti Kozkor vs Rotxapea
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotxapea Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Beti Kozkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Santamaria I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotxapea 24 / 100
Beti Kozkor 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotxapea Beti Kozkor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Beti Kozkor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rotxapea attacking → ← attacking Beti Kozkor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotxapea scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Beti Kozkor let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Rotxapea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Beti Kozkor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mutilvera34237461:2276
2Valle Egues34236563:2175
3AD San Juan341810656:2664
4Cortes34188848:2862
5Pena341513655:2858
6Txantrea34169958:4957
7Huarte34169954:3957
8CD Ardoi341671141:3055
9Pamplona3413111045:4350
10Cirbonero3411121146:3945
11Bidezarra3410141039:4144
12Beti Kozkor349101538:4837
13CA Artajones347121536:5733
14CD Beti Onak34961932:5033
15Burlades34682047:7326
16Rotxapea34582139:8323
17CD Gares34572225:6322
18CD Cantolagua34392232:7518