Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rotxapea vs CD Ardoi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Arizcuren Mugueta A.
42' Event
Olcoz M.
48' Event
Abaurrea E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Rotxapea and CD Ardoi finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ardoi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rotxapea
30%
Draws
39%
CD Ardoi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Ardoi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CD Ardoi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rotxapea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Rotxapea Clean Sheet 19%
CD Ardoi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotxapea CD Ardoi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Rotxapea vs CD Ardoi
2:4
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Rotxapea
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotxapea Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

CD Ardoi Compare

Top Goalscorer Arizcuren Mugueta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olcoz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotxapea 42 / 100
CD Ardoi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotxapea CD Ardoi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ardoi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Rotxapea scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Rotxapea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Ardoi
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotxapea

(Home)
10 May
Rotxapea
2 : 4
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Rotxapea
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 2
Rotxapea
12 Apr
Rotxapea
1 : 4
Cirbonero
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CD Ardoi

(Away)
09 May
AD San Juan
3 : 1
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1
CD Ardoi
11 Apr
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
Beti Kozkor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)