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Rouen vs Aubagne FC

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Diochon
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rouen play Aubagne FC in the National 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rouen averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Aubagne FC averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Rouen won 1, Aubagne FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Rouen and 1.00 for Aubagne FC. This points to a Rouen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rouen
28%
Draws
22%
Aubagne FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rouen has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aubagne FC.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Rouen.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Rouen Clean Sheet 20%
Aubagne FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouen Aubagne FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Aubagne FC
3:1
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Rouen
1:1
Jan 24, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Aubagne FC
0:1
Aug 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Aubagne FC vs Rouen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassin C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cartillier A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aubagne FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayilla E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouen 49 / 100
Aubagne FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouen Aubagne FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rouen scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Aubagne FC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Rouen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aubagne FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rouen VS Aubagne FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027