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Rouen vs Concarneau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rouen host Concarneau in the Ligue 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Concarneau have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Rouen have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.34. Head-to-head, Rouen have won 1 to Concarneau's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 0.94) back Rouen to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rouen
30%
Draws
37%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Concarneau haven't matched Rouen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rouen's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rouen Clean Sheet 20%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouen Concarneau
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Rouen
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Concarneau
0:0
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Concarneau
4:3
Sep 27, 2024 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Rouen
1:1
Apr 21, 2007 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Rouen
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouen 40 / 100
Concarneau 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouen Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rouen scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Concarneau has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rouen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rouen VS Concarneau
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rouen

(Home)
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

Concarneau

(Away)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)