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Rouen vs Le Puy-en-Velay

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Diochon
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rouen play Le Puy-en-Velay in the National 2025/2026. Rouen are favorites here. Recently, Rouen averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Le Puy-en-Velay averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Rouen won 1, Le Puy-en-Velay won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 20, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Rouen and 1.00 for Le Puy-en-Velay. This points to a Rouen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Rouen
25%
Draws
15%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Rouen picked up more points recently compared to Le Puy-en-Velay.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Rouen Clean Sheet 23%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouen Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Rouen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba-Sy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsingi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouen 59 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouen Le Puy-en-Velay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rouen & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rouen attacking → ← attacking Le Puy-en-Velay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rouen scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Rouen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Le Puy-en-Velay lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 50
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027