Sport Picks
Rouen vs Valenciennes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen 
Match Events
15'
15'
Rouai M.
24'
24'
Toure A.
26'
26'
Ekra R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rouen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rouen lately — more wins on the board than Valenciennes.
- Model gives Rouen a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Rouen Clean Sheet 68%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rouen | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Valenciennes
1:1
Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Valenciennes
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Rouen
2:3
Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Rouen
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Valenciennes
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rouen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Valenciennes Compare
Top Goalscorer Ekra R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rouen 59 / 100
Valenciennes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rouen Valenciennes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rouen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rouen found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Valenciennes let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Rouen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rouen VS Valenciennes
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rouen
(Home) 07 Nov
Rouen
2 : 0 Bastia
31 Oct
Rouen
2 : 1 Concarneau
17 Oct
Paris 13 Atletico
3 : 1 Rouen
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2 Rouen
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Rouen
2 : 0 Bastia
31 Oct
Rouen
2 : 1 Concarneau
03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0 Aubagne FC
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 3
Valenciennes
(Away) 05 Nov
Valenciennes
2 : 2 Orleans
31 Oct
Cannes
2 : 1 Valenciennes
17 Oct
Valenciennes
1 : 1 Amiens SC
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1 Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Cannes
2 : 1 Valenciennes
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0 Valenciennes
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2 Valenciennes
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
20 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
2 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Rouen | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22:9 | 26 |
| 3 | Caen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 22 |
| 4 | Versailles | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:5 | 20 |
| 6 | Concarneau | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Cannes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Paris 13 Atletico | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 10 | Quevilly | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 11 | Thionville | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 12 | Fleury 91 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Bastia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 14 | Orleans | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 16 | Villefranche | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:26 | 8 |
| 17 | Aubagne FC | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg Peronnas | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6:19 | 6 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
