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Rouen vs Valenciennes

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Thu, Sep 3, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rouen host Valenciennes in the Ligue 3. This one's hard to separate. Rouen have averaged 1.1 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Valenciennes's 1.27 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Rouen have won 1 to Valenciennes's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.00) back Rouen to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rouen
30%
Draws
31%
Valenciennes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Valenciennes at 1.27 per game, Rouen at 1.1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Rouen Clean Sheet 20%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouen Valenciennes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Valenciennes
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Rouen
2:3
Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Rouen
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Valenciennes
1:1
Feb 28, 2024 Coupe de France
Rouen vs Valenciennes
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouen 31 / 100
Valenciennes 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouen Valenciennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valenciennes conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Rouen scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Rouen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rouen VS Valenciennes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rouen

(Home)
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2
Rouen
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
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Valenciennes

(Away)
14 Aug
Valenciennes
2 : 0
Bourg Peronnas
07 Aug
Caen
4 : 0
Valenciennes
31 Jul
Valenciennes
1 : 1
Boulogne
22 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 3
Valenciennes
18 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 1
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 La Roche Vendee 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Rouen 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Caen 2 1 0 1 7:4 3
5 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 Versailles 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Bourg Peronnas 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
9 Valenciennes 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
10 Orleans 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
11 Bastia 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Paris 13 Atletico 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
13 Cannes 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Fleury-Merogis 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Quevilly 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Concarneau 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Amiens SC 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
18 Aubagne FC 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)