Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rouen vs Valenciennes

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Passi B.
43'
Landre L.
62' Event
Niakate S.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Rouen and Valenciennes finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valenciennes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rouen
33%
Draws
40%
Valenciennes
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Valenciennes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Rouen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Valenciennes's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Rouen Clean Sheet 23%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouen Valenciennes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Valenciennes
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Rouen
2:3
Feb 14, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Rouen
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Valenciennes
1:1
Feb 28, 2024 Coupe de France
Rouen vs Valenciennes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuss V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Valenciennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Niakate S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Appuah S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouen 29 / 100
Valenciennes 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouen Valenciennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rouen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Valenciennes conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rouen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rouen VS Valenciennes
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rouen

(Home)
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
19 May
Rouen
1 : 1
Laval
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
09 May
Rouen
1 : 3
Versailles
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Valenciennes

(Away)
22 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 3
Valenciennes
18 Jul
Kortrijk
1 : 1
Valenciennes
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2
Chateauroux
09 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Valenciennes
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)