Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rouisset vs Mostaganem

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade 18 Février, Ouargla
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ngandziami J.
43'
Sub
Namani A. In: El Moudene A.
Out: Namani A.
71'
Sub
Sikoula D. In: Merdja N.
Out: Sikoula D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Rouisset and Mostaganem finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rouisset.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Rouisset
20%
Draws
20%
Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rouisset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rouisset come out ahead of Mostaganem on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Rouisset taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Rouisset Clean Sheet 68%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouisset Mostaganem
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.86 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Ligue 1
Rouisset vs Mostaganem
1:0
Sep 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Rouisset
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rouisset Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngandziami J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Mostaganem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouisset 86 / 100
Mostaganem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouisset Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouisset Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mostaganem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Rouisset found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Mostaganem registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rouisset VS Mostaganem
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rouisset

(Home)
18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0
Rouisset
12 Sept
Rouisset
2 : 0
Olympique Akbou
04 Sept
Kabylie
1 : 0
Rouisset
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0
Rouisset
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
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Mostaganem

(Away)
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4
Saoura
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)