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Stadium Background

Rovato Vertovese vs Correggese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Scidone G.
64' Event
Bertuzzi D.
85'
Pelamatti M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Rovato Vertovese and Correggese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rovato Vertovese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Rovato Vertovese
17%
Draws
70%
Correggese
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rovato Vertovese come out ahead of Correggese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Correggese's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 20%
Correggese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rovato Vertovese Correggese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Rovato Vertovese vs Correggese
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Rovato Vertovese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Scidone G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertuzzi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Correggese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rovato Vertovese 16 / 100
Correggese 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rovato Vertovese Correggese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rovato Vertovese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Correggese has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Rovato Vertovese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rovato Vertovese VS Correggese
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rovato Vertovese

(Home)
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
02 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6

Correggese

(Away)
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1
Correggese
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)