Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rovato Vertovese vs Pro Sesto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Stefanoni D.
45' Event
Signoroni M.
90' Event
Bertazzoli A.

AI Match Summary

Rovato Vertovese host Pro Sesto in the Serie D - Group D. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pro Sesto have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Rovato Vertovese have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Rovato Vertovese slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.88, favoring Rovato Vertovese. Rovato Vertovese in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rovato Vertovese
28%
Draws
22%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rovato Vertovese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rovato Vertovese has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pro Sesto.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Rovato Vertovese.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group D provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rovato Vertovese Pro Sesto
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Rovato Vertovese vs Pro Sesto
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Rovato Vertovese
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Signoroni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertazzoli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pro Sesto Compare

Top Goalscorer Stefanoni D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rovato Vertovese 59 / 100
Pro Sesto 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rovato Vertovese Pro Sesto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rovato Vertovese scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Pro Sesto let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Rovato Vertovese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pro Sesto lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rovato Vertovese VS Pro Sesto
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738