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Royal Puma vs Tupapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2025
Royal Puma Logo

Royal Puma

3 - 3
FT
Tupapa Logo

Tupapa

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Harmon G.
26' Event
Collins J.
29' Event
Matapo O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Champions League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Royal Puma
25%
Draws
35%
Tupapa
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Royal Puma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tupapa lately — more wins on the board than Royal Puma.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Royal Puma Clean Sheet 10%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Royal Puma Tupapa
Matches Played 2 31
Wins 0 13
Draws 1 4
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 1.5 2.48
Goals Conceded 3.5 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 OFC Champions League
Royal Puma vs Tupapa
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Royal Puma Compare

Top Goalscorer Collins J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fea F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Harmon G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matapo O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Royal Puma 29 / 100
Tupapa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Royal Puma Tupapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Royal Puma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Tupapa let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Tupapa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Royal Puma found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

Scoring Trends

Royal Puma VS Tupapa
1.5 Goals Scored 3.38
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Royal Puma

(Home)
12 Feb
Royal Puma
3 : 3
Tupapa
09 Feb
Royal Puma
0 : 4
Vaipuna

Tupapa

(Away)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupapa 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
2 Vaipuna 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Royal Puma 2 0 1 1 3:7 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2025 (Main)