Sport Picks
Royale Union SG vs Charleroi
Belgium
Belgian Cup Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels 
Match Events
1'
1'
David P.
3'
3'
Scheidler A.
Assist: Nzita M.
19'
19'
Mac Allister K.
AI Match Summary
Royale Union SG in this Belgian Cup tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Royale Union SG
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Royale Union SG lately — more wins on the board than Charleroi.
- Model gives Royale Union SG a 60% chance of winning this.
- Royale Union SG have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Royale Union SG, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Royale Union SG Clean Sheet 68%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Royale Union SG | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 3.13 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.13 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.57 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2026 Belgian Cup
Royale Union SG vs Charleroi
4:1
Feb 4, 2026 Belgian Cup
Charleroi vs Royale Union SG
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Royale Union SG
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Charleroi
3:1
Jan 11, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Royale Union SG
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Royale Union SG Compare
Top Goalscorer David P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fuseini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56
Charleroi Compare
Top Goalscorer Scheidler A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Royale Union SG 68 / 100
Charleroi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Royale Union SG Charleroi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ROY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Royale Union SG found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Charleroi has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Royale Union SG went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Royale Union SG VS Charleroi
3.13 Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Royale Union SG
(Home) 04 Aug
Royale Union SG
3 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
31 Jul
Club Brugge
1 : 2 Royale Union SG
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1 Lille
24 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0 Patro Eisden
18 Jul
PSV
7 : 3 Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Royale Union SG
3 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1 Lille
24 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0 Patro Eisden
11 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1 Aarhus
05 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0 FCSB
Page 1 of 4
Charleroi
(Away) 01 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 3 Rayo Vallecano
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1 RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2 Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1 Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2 Reims
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2 Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1 Charleroi
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2 Charleroi
10 May
Antwerp
0 : 1 Charleroi
25 Apr
Leuven
0 : 2 Charleroi
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
RFC Liege 0
Charleroi 1
KV Mechelen 2
Lierse SK 1
RFC Seraing 1
Leuven 3
Club Brugge 6
Eendracht Aalst 1
Dender 4
OC Charleroi 2
SK Beveren 1
St. Liege 2
Tubize-Braine 0
Royale Union SG 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Waregem 4
Genk 3
RWDM Brussels 0
Ninove 0
Anderlecht 2
Cercle Brugge 1
Kortrijk 0
Gent 5
Patro Eisden 0
Antwerp 3
Eupen 1
Knokke 0
St. Truiden 1
Beerschot VA 3
Westerlo 2
Heist 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
1/8-finals
Charleroi 2
KV Mechelen 0
Leuven 1
Club Brugge 2
Dender 3
St. Liege 2
Royale Union SG 2
Waregem 1
Genk 1
Anderlecht 3
Cercle Brugge 1
Gent 3
Antwerp 4
St. Truiden 3
Beerschot VA 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi 2
Club Brugge 0
Dender 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Gent 0
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Semi-finals
Charleroi 1
Royale Union SG 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 1
Final
Royale Union SG 3
Anderlecht 1
