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Rozhovice vs Hermanuv Mestec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Pardubicky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rozhovice play Hermanuv Mestec in the Pardubicky KP 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rozhovice averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Hermanuv Mestec averaged 2.65 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Rozhovice won 1, Hermanuv Mestec won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Rozhovice and 2.06 for Hermanuv Mestec. This points to a Hermanuv Mestec double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rozhovice
18%
Draws
46%
Hermanuv Mestec
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Hermanuv Mestec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Rozhovice picked up more points recently compared to Hermanuv Mestec.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Rozhovice Clean Sheet 10%
Hermanuv Mestec Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rozhovice Hermanuv Mestec
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.93 2.65
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Pardubicky KP
Hermanuv Mestec vs Rozhovice
3:2
Nov 1, 2025 Pardubicky KP
Rozhovice vs Hermanuv Mestec
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rozhovice 34 / 100
Hermanuv Mestec 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rozhovice Hermanuv Mestec

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hermanuv Mestec or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rozhovice attacking → ← attacking Hermanuv Mestec

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rozhovice scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Hermanuv Mestec let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Rozhovice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hermanuv Mestec lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 68
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13