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Rozova Dolina vs Dimitrovgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Rozova Dolina
35%
Draws
16%
Dimitrovgrad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rozova Dolina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rozova Dolina at 1.31 per game, Dimitrovgrad at 1.27.
  • Win probability leans Rozova Dolina's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 16%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rozova Dolina Dimitrovgrad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Dimitrovgrad
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rozova Dolina
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Dimitrovgrad
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Rozova Dolina
4:2
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Rozova Dolina vs Dimitrovgrad
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rozova Dolina 66 / 100
Dimitrovgrad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rozova Dolina Dimitrovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rozova Dolina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dimitrovgrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rozova Dolina scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Rozova Dolina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rozova Dolina VS Dimitrovgrad
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rozova Dolina

(Home)
10 Oct
Rozova Dolina
1 : 3
Neftochimic Burgas
03 Oct
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 3
Rozova Dolina
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6

Dimitrovgrad

(Away)
10 Oct
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Dimitrovgrad
03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 9 9 0 0 28:8 27
2 Maritsa Milevo 10 8 0 2 25:11 24
3 Spartak Plovdiv 9 8 0 1 22:10 24
4 Yambol 1915 9 5 2 2 27:12 17
5 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
6 Neftochimic Burgas 9 5 1 3 18:13 16
7 Rodopa Smolyan 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
8 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
9 Sozopol 10 4 1 5 20:19 13
10 Rozova Dolina 10 2 6 2 15:16 12
11 Zagorets 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 10 2 1 7 10:25 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 9 1 3 5 16:27 6
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 10 1 2 7 8:17 5
18 Levski Karlovo 9 1 0 8 5:22 3
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