Sport Picks
Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East game between Rozova Dolina and Maritsa Plovdiv finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rozova Dolina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rozova Dolina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Maritsa Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 14%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rozova Dolina | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:0
May 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina
2:1
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rozova Dolina 31 / 100
Maritsa Plovdiv 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rozova Dolina Maritsa Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maritsa Plovdiv lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Rozova Dolina scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Maritsa Plovdiv has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Rozova Dolina VS Maritsa Plovdiv
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rozova Dolina
(Home) 12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
15 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 1 Rozova Dolina
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
08 Aug
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Yambol 1915
16 May
Rozova Dolina
2 : 1 Zagorets
Page 1 of 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
(Away) 12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 OFC Haskovo
15 Aug
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
15 Aug
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Maritsa Plovdiv
16 May
Yambol 1915
1 : 1 Maritsa Plovdiv
09 May
Rozova Dolina
1 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Spartak Plovdiv | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Maritsa Milevo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 13 |
| 5 | OFC Haskovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Zagorets | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Rodopa Smolyan | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Rozova Dolina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 12 | Dimitrovgrad | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Atletik Kuklen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Botev II | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Neftochimic Burgas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:18 | 2 |
| 17 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:10 | 1 |
| 18 | Levski Karlovo | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:16 | 0 |
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