Sport Picks
Rozova Dolina vs Neftochimic Burgas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East game between Rozova Dolina and Neftochimic Burgas finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neftochimic Burgas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Neftochimic Burgas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Neftochimic Burgas's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Neftochimic Burgas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 13%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rozova Dolina | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Neftochimic Burgas
1:3
Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Neftochimic Burgas vs Rozova Dolina
3:1
Mar 11, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Neftochimic Burgas
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Rozova Dolina
1:1
May 4, 2019 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Rozova Dolina
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rozova Dolina 19 / 100
Neftochimic Burgas 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rozova Dolina Neftochimic Burgas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rozova Dolina scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Rozova Dolina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Neftochimic Burgas has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rozova Dolina VS Neftochimic Burgas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rozova Dolina
(Home) 03 Oct
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 3 Rozova Dolina
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2 Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Dimitrovgrad
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
08 Aug
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Yambol 1915
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Neftochimic Burgas
(Away) 04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1 Svoge
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
15 Aug
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
29 May
Gigant Saedinenie
3 : 0 Neftochimic Burgas
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 4 | OFC Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |
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