Sport Picks
Rozova Dolina vs Rodopa Smolyan Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Rozova Dolina and Rodopa Smolyan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rozova Dolina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rodopa Smolyan come out ahead of Rozova Dolina on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Rozova Dolina's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 16%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rozova Dolina | Rodopa Smolyan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Rodopa Smolyan
1:1
Apr 1, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Rozova Dolina
3:2
May 24, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Rozova Dolina
6:0
Nov 23, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rozova Dolina 36 / 100
Rodopa Smolyan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rozova Dolina Rodopa Smolyan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Rozova Dolina found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Rodopa Smolyan has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Rozova Dolina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Rozova Dolina VS Rodopa Smolyan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rozova Dolina
(Home) 03 Oct
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 3 Rozova Dolina
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2 Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Dimitrovgrad
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
22 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
08 Aug
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Yambol 1915
Page 1 of 3
Rodopa Smolyan
(Away) 04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 1 Nesebar
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
15 Aug
Sozopol
0 : 2 Rodopa Smolyan
09 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 3 Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
