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RSD Alcala vs CD Coria

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kone L.
30' Event
Fernandez T.
45' Event
Nunez B.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between RSD Alcala and CD Coria finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Coria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
RSD Alcala
20%
Draws
29%
CD Coria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Coria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on RSD Alcala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RSD Alcala CD Coria
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcala vs CD Coria
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Coria vs RSD Alcala
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RSD Alcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 68 / 100
CD Coria 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RSD Alcala CD Coria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: RSD Alcala scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Coria conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: RSD Alcala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RSD Alcala VS CD Coria
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RSD Alcala

(Home)
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

CD Coria

(Away)
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)