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RSD Alcala vs CDE Madrid Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 game between RSD Alcala and CDE Madrid finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RSD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
RSD Alcala
20%
Draws
44%
CDE Madrid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDE Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • RSD Alcala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on RSD Alcala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RSD Alcala CDE Madrid
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs CDE Madrid
4:1
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs RSD Alcala
0:2
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs CDE Madrid
0:4
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs RSD Alcala
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 59 / 100
CDE Madrid 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RSD Alcala CDE Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RSD Alcala's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

CDE Madrid has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

RSD Alcala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

RSD Alcala VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RSD Alcala

(Home)
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
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CDE Madrid

(Away)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)