Sport Picks
RSD Alcala vs Navalcarnero Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 
Match Events
1'
1'
Perez A. D.
30'
30'
Perez A. D.
57'
57'
Esteban R.
AI Match Summary
Navalcarnero in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navalcarnero.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navalcarnero
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- RSD Alcala have won more games recently than Navalcarnero.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 18%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RSD Alcala | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcala vs Navalcarnero
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcala vs Navalcarnero
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcala
3:1
Jul 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcala
1:1
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs RSD Alcala
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RSD Alcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Ato
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Navalcarnero Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez A. D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Esteban R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RSD Alcala 32 / 100
Navalcarnero 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RSD Alcala Navalcarnero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RSD Alcala scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Navalcarnero conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
RSD Alcala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
RSD Alcala VS Navalcarnero
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
RSD Alcala
(Home) 27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2 Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Real Avila
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2 Gimnastica Segoviana
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Real Avila
19 Aug
RSD Alcala
1 : 1 Gimnastica Segoviana
14 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 0 Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 4
Navalcarnero
(Away) 30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1 Real Avila
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
29 Aug
Salamanca CF UDS
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:0 | 11 |
| 2 | Conquense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 3 | San Sebastian Reyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Valladolid Promesas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Salamanca CF UDS | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid C | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 10 | RSD Alcala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Avila | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Atletico Paso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 13 | Albacete B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:15 | 5 |
| 14 | Guadalajara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Puertollano C.F. | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Getafe B | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Real Madrid C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:3 | 2 |
| 18 | Atletico Tordesillas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)
