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RSD Alcala vs San Sebastian Reyes

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Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RSD Alcala play San Sebastian Reyes in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, RSD Alcala averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. San Sebastian Reyes averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, RSD Alcala won 1, San Sebastian Reyes won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for RSD Alcala and 1.19 for San Sebastian Reyes. This points to a San Sebastian Reyes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
RSD Alcala
31%
Draws
40%
San Sebastian Reyes
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: San Sebastian Reyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • RSD Alcala picked up more points recently compared to San Sebastian Reyes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RSD Alcala San Sebastian Reyes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.23 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcala vs San Sebastian Reyes
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
San Sebastian Reyes vs RSD Alcala
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Club Friendly
RSD Alcala vs San Sebastian Reyes
2:3
Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs San Sebastian Reyes
1:0
Sep 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Sebastian Reyes vs RSD Alcala
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RSD Alcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

San Sebastian Reyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 30 / 100
San Sebastian Reyes 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RSD Alcala San Sebastian Reyes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Sebastian Reyes or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

RSD Alcala attacking → ← attacking San Sebastian Reyes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RSD Alcala scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

San Sebastian Reyes let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

RSD Alcala went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Sebastian Reyes lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 60
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330