Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RSD Alcala vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RSD Alcala in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored RSD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
RSD Alcala
15%
Draws
34%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RSD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Siello.
  • Model gives RSD Alcala a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 17%
Siello Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RSD Alcala Siello
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Siello
3:1
Sep 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs RSD Alcala
1:0
Feb 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs RSD Alcala
0:0
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Siello
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 84 / 100
Siello 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RSD Alcala Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RSD Alcala's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Siello's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: RSD Alcala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RSD Alcala VS Siello
1.38 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RSD Alcala

(Home)
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
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Siello

(Away)
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 38 23 4 11 63:40 73
2 Union Adarve 38 19 9 10 55:41 66
3 Mexico 38 16 15 7 49:28 63
4 CD Mostoles 38 16 14 8 62:41 62
5 Leganes B 38 18 8 12 57:45 62
6 Getafe B 38 17 9 12 54:35 60
7 Atletico Pinto 38 15 13 10 36:30 58
8 RSD Alcala 38 14 15 9 36:28 57
9 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 15 11 12 52:40 56
10 Santa Ana 38 15 8 15 43:54 53
11 Villaverde San Andres 38 13 10 15 41:52 49
12 San Fernando de Henares 38 12 13 13 44:43 49
13 Alcorcon B 38 12 12 14 40:46 48
14 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 11 15 12 40:35 48
15 Rayo Vallecano B 38 12 11 15 57:49 47
16 Trival Valderas 38 11 13 14 44:48 46
17 Alcobendas 38 10 14 14 29:37 44
18 Aravaca CF 38 9 11 18 36:64 38
19 Siello 38 7 10 21 21:57 31
20 Parla 38 4 7 27 21:67 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)