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Rubin Kazan vs Dynamo Makhachkala

Russia Russia

Premier League Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Alarcon A.
46'
Sub
Gripshi N. In: Bezrukov R.
Out: Gripshi N.
46'
Sub
Kuznetsov D. In: Arroyo A.
Out: Kuznetsov D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Rubin Kazan and Dynamo Makhachkala finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rubin Kazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rubin Kazan
30%
Draws
28%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rubin Kazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rubin Kazan come out ahead of Dynamo Makhachkala on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rubin Kazan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Rubin Kazan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Kazan Dynamo Makhachkala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 13 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Dynamo Makhachkala
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rubin Kazan
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Dynamo Makhachkala
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rubin Kazan
2:3
Aug 23, 2024 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Kazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Rozhkov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jukic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Kazan 86 / 100
Dynamo Makhachkala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Kazan Dynamo Makhachkala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rubin Kazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rubin Kazan scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Dynamo Makhachkala has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Rubin Kazan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Kazan VS Dynamo Makhachkala
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubin Kazan

(Home)
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
02 Sept
Orenburg
1 : 2
Rubin Kazan
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
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Dynamo Makhachkala

(Away)
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)