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Rubin Kazan vs Fakel Voronezh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rubin Kazan host Fakel Voronezh in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fakel Voronezh have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Rubin Kazan have conceded 1.11 and scored 1.15. Past meetings favor Rubin Kazan slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.56 - 0.76) back Rubin Kazan to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Rubin Kazan
35%
Draws
20%
Fakel Voronezh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rubin Kazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Fakel Voronezh haven't matched Rubin Kazan's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rubin Kazan's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 20%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Kazan Fakel Voronezh
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 13 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.15 1
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Fakel Voronezh
2:1
Oct 1, 2024 Russian Cup
Rubin Kazan vs Fakel Voronezh
0:1
Sep 27, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Rubin Kazan
0:0
Aug 27, 2024 Russian Cup
Fakel Voronezh vs Rubin Kazan
0:2
Nov 26, 2023 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Fakel Voronezh
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Kazan 67 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Kazan Fakel Voronezh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rubin Kazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rubin Kazan scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Rubin Kazan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Fakel Voronezh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Fakel Voronezh registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Kazan VS Fakel Voronezh
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubin Kazan

(Home)
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
02 Sept
Orenburg
1 : 2
Rubin Kazan
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
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Fakel Voronezh

(Away)
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)