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Stadium Background

Rubin Yalta vs Spartak Nalchik

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 Avangard Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lysenko S.
18'
Marchenko A.
27'
Sub
Bolgov N. In: Balan Y.
Out: Bolgov N.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 game between Rubin Yalta and Spartak Nalchik finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rubin Yalta
44%
Draws
20%
Spartak Nalchik
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubin Yalta's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Spartak Nalchik have produced (1).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Yalta Spartak Nalchik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Spartak Nalchik
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Spartak Nalchik
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Rubin Yalta
1:2
May 31, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Spartak Nalchik
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Rubin Yalta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Polyakh D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Top Goalscorer Lysenko S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Yalta 36 / 100
Spartak Nalchik 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Yalta Spartak Nalchik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Yalta found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Spartak Nalchik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Rubin Yalta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Yalta VS Spartak Nalchik
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%