Sport Picks
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera La Arboleda, Asunción 
Match Events
12'
12'
Barrios J.
18'
18'
Sub
Paredes K. In: Mendieta W.
Out: Paredes K.
24'
24'
Garcia M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Lorenzo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rubio Nu's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what San Lorenzo have produced (0.83).
- Model gives San Lorenzo a 51% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Rubio Nu, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Rubio Nu here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 19%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rubio Nu | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Feb 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Apr 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rubio Nu Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Vallejos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rubio Nu 28 / 100
San Lorenzo 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rubio Nu San Lorenzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Lorenzo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Lorenzo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: San Lorenzo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Rubio Nu scored in 48% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Rubio Nu VS San Lorenzo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Rubio Nu
(Home) 05 Nov
Rubio Nu
0 : 5 Sp. Luqueno
30 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 4 Rubio Nu
23 Oct
Rubio Nu
0 : 2 Guarani
16 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
11 Oct
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
05 Nov
Rubio Nu
0 : 5 Sp. Luqueno
23 Oct
Rubio Nu
0 : 2 Guarani
11 Oct
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
San Lorenzo
(Away) 03 Nov
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 2 San Lorenzo
31 Oct
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
25 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
18 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
3 : 2 San Lorenzo
14 Oct
Cerro Porteno
3 : 2 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 2 San Lorenzo
18 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
3 : 2 San Lorenzo
14 Oct
Cerro Porteno
3 : 2 San Lorenzo
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 34:13 | 39 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26:11 | 32 |
| 3 | Guarani | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 20:14 | 31 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25:20 | 30 |
| 6 | 2 de Mayo | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 18:18 | 30 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 24:19 | 27 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 22:33 | 19 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 19:34 | 16 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 20:32 | 15 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12:30 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
