Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera La Arboleda, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Barrios J.
18'
Sub
Paredes K. In: Mendieta W.
Out: Paredes K.
24'
Garcia M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Rubio Nu
15%
Draws
20%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rubio Nu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Rubio Nu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rubio Nu a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Rubio Nu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rubio Nu, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Rubio Nu here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu San Lorenzo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Feb 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Apr 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubio Nu Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vallejos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 95 / 100
San Lorenzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rubio Nu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rubio Nu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

San Lorenzo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS San Lorenzo
1 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubio Nu

(Home)
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
25 Aug
General Caballero JLM
2 : 3
Rubio Nu
21 Aug
Rubio Nu
0 : 0
Sportivo Trinidense
15 Aug
Guarani
2 : 3
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo

(Away)
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Nacional Asuncion
24 Aug
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
16 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
12 Aug
29 de Septiembre FBC
1 : 2
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 2 de Mayo 9 6 3 0 12:6 21
2 Libertad Asuncion 9 6 1 2 16:11 19
3 Olimpia Asuncion 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
4 Nacional Asuncion 9 4 3 2 14:6 15
5 Sportivo Trinidense 9 4 2 3 15:8 14
6 Sportivo Ameliano 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
7 Guarani 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
8 Cerro Porteno 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Sp. Luqueno 9 3 1 5 11:17 10
10 Rubio Nu 9 2 2 5 11:19 8
11 Recoleta 9 2 1 6 12:20 7
12 San Lorenzo 9 0 1 8 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)