Sport Picks
Rubio Nu vs Sp. Luqueno
Paraguay
Copa de Primera La Arboleda, Asunción 
Match Events
8'
8'
Rojas R.
18'
18'
Balbuena A.
26'
26'
Sub
Diaz S. In: Martinez Cubilla A. M.
Out: Diaz S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Sp. Luqueno haven't matched Rubio Nu's recent run of results.
- Rubio Nu are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Rubio Nu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 68%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rubio Nu | Sp. Luqueno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu
2:1
May 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Sp. Luqueno
0:0
Mar 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Jul 17, 2022 Division Intermedia
Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu
2:1
Apr 8, 2022 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Sp. Luqueno
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rubio Nu 50 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rubio Nu Sp. Luqueno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rubio Nu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sp. Luqueno has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Rubio Nu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Rubio Nu scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Rubio Nu VS Sp. Luqueno
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Rubio Nu
(Home) 06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1 San Lorenzo
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
25 Aug
General Caballero JLM
2 : 3 Rubio Nu
21 Aug
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1 San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Sportivo Trinidense
07 Aug
Rubio Nu
1 : 3 Recoleta
28 Jul
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Sp. Luqueno
(Away) 06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
19 Aug
Paraguari AC
0 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
24 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
19 Aug
Paraguari AC
0 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
09 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
01 Aug
Cerro Porteno
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
