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Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Carapegua

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Mendoza Ramirez T.
71'
Benitez M.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Rubio Nu and Sportivo Carapegua finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rubio Nu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rubio Nu
40%
Draws
29%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rubio Nu come out ahead of Sportivo Carapegua on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division Intermedia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.29 1
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Rubio Nu
1:1
Aug 5, 2024 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1
Apr 26, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Rubio Nu
1:1
Aug 24, 2023 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubio Nu Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza Ramirez T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 32 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu Sportivo Carapegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sportivo Carapegua conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Rubio Nu's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rubio Nu remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS Sportivo Carapegua
0.29 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubio Nu

(Home)
28 Jul
Rubio Nu
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
24 Jul
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
09 May
2 de Mayo
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Carapegua

(Away)
26 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2
General Caballero JLM
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1
Guairena FC
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Sol de America
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rubio Nu30179446:2160
2San Lorenzo30158738:2253
3Deportivo Capiata301410637:2152
412 de Junio301212636:2648
5Pastoreo301011934:3141
6Resistencia30913846:5040
7Guairena FC301161341:3839
8Sol de America309111034:3538
9Tacuary301081228:3638
10Club River Plate30813935:3937
11Deportivo Santani308111133:3535
12Encarnacion FC308111133:4235
13Sportivo Carapegua307131039:4634
14Independiente FBC30971432:4034
15Fernando de la Mora306101424:4028
16Guarani de Fram305111435:4926
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)