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Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Glogowski M.
6' Event
Adkonis J.
25' Event
Nagamatsu S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ruch Chorzow and Lechia Gdansk finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lechia Gdansk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ruch Chorzow
20%
Draws
48%
Lechia Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lechia Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ruch Chorzow come out ahead of Lechia Gdansk on wins alone.
  • Lechia Gdansk are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 14%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruch Chorzow Lechia Gdansk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia Gdansk
1:3
Aug 14, 2026 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia Gdansk
1:0
Mar 11, 2017 Ekstraklasa
Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia Gdansk
2:1
Sep 24, 2016 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Ruch Chorzow
2:1
May 7, 2016 Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk vs Ruch Chorzow
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruch Chorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagamatsu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lechia Gdansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Glogowski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adkonis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruch Chorzow 15 / 100
Lechia Gdansk 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruch Chorzow Lechia Gdansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lechia Gdansk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Ruch Chorzow found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ruch Chorzow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ruch Chorzow VS Lechia Gdansk
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruch Chorzow

(Home)
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
02 Sept
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
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Lechia Gdansk

(Away)
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2
Lechia Gdansk
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