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Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski, Chorzów
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ruch Chorzow host Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Division 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki have shipped 1.69 goals a game lately, while Ruch Chorzow have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Ruch Chorzow have won 1 to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.56, favoring Ruch Chorzow. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ruch Chorzow
20%
Draws
34%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ruch Chorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki haven't matched Ruch Chorzow's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ruch Chorzow's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 15%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruch Chorzow Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2:2
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Ruch Chorzow
2:2
Mar 12, 2022 Division 2
Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
4:1
Aug 28, 2021 Division 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Ruch Chorzow
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruch Chorzow 57 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruch Chorzow Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ruch Chorzow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Ruch Chorzow found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ruch Chorzow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ruch Chorzow VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruch Chorzow

(Home)
16 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 0
Odra Opole
11 Oct
LKS Lodz
0 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Away)
17 Oct
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 19:9 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
3 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 1 4 21:17 19
4 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
5 LKS Lodz 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
6 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
7 Legnica 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
8 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
9 S. Rzeszow 11 5 2 4 15:20 17
10 Polonia Bytom 11 3 6 2 18:19 15
11 Chrobry Glogow 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
12 Pogon Siedlce 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 16:27 12
15 Arka Gdynia 11 3 2 6 13:15 11
16 Podbeskidzie 11 1 8 2 13:15 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 10 3 0 7 11:14 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)