Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski, Chorzów
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Zjawinski L.
12' Event
Dadok R.
Assist: Wojciechowski O.
46'
Sub
Janasik P. In: Terpilowski E.
Out: Janasik P.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Warszawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ruch Chorzow
33%
Draws
27%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ruch Chorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ruch Chorzow at 2 per game, Polonia Warszawa at 1.
  • Win probability leans Ruch Chorzow's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ruch Chorzow Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa
2:3
Aug 15, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow
0:0
May 25, 2025 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow
1:0
Apr 22, 2013 Ekstraklasa
Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ruch Chorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Szczepan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zjawinski L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dadok R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ruch Chorzow 40 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ruch Chorzow Polonia Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ruch Chorzow scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Polonia Warszawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Ruch Chorzow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ruch Chorzow VS Polonia Warszawa
2 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ruch Chorzow

(Home)
26 Jul
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
18 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Ruch Chorzow
10 Jul
KS Wieczysta Krakow
2 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
04 Jul
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw II
27 Jun
Unia Oswiecim
0 : 6
Ruch Chorzow
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Warszawa

(Away)
26 Jul
Puszcza
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
18 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 2
Zawisza
15 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
0 : 2
Zlin
11 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
11 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423
Promotion - Ekstraklasa (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Main)