Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL North

Rudar Mursko Sredisce

5 - 2

Papuk Orahovica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL North game between Rudar Mursko Sredisce and Papuk Orahovica finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rudar Mursko Sredisce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Rudar Mursko Sredisce

Draws

Papuk Orahovica

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rudar Mursko Sredisce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Papuk Orahovica carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Rudar Mursko Sredisce taking it.
Regular 3. HNL North form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Rudar Mursko Sredisce Clean Sheet 19%

Papuk Orahovica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rudar Mursko Sredisce	Papuk Orahovica
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	6	10
Draws	6	5
Losses	17	16
Goals Scored	1.5	0.5
Goals Conceded	2	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Rudar Mursko Sredisce

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Nov 13, 2021 3. HNL North

Rudar Mursko Sredisce vs Papuk Orahovica

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

5:2

Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Rudar Mursko Sredisce

Possession: 60% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

3:3

Apr 3, 2021 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Rudar Mursko Sredisce

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sep 26, 2020 3. HNL North

Rudar Mursko Sredisce vs Papuk Orahovica

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

3:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudar Mursko Sredisce 85 / 100

Papuk Orahovica 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rudar Mursko Sredisce Papuk Orahovica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papuk Orahovica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Rudar Mursko Sredisce's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rudar Mursko Sredisce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rudar Mursko Sredisce VS Papuk Orahovica

1.5 Goals Scored 0.5

2 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NK Polet	22	17	0	5	61:17	51
2	Mladost Zdralovi	22	15	5	2	45:15	50
3	Bjelovar	22	14	3	5	53:26	45
4	Radnik Krizevci	22	14	2	6	57:25	44
5	Medjimurje	22	12	3	7	40:33	39
6	Podravina Ludbreg	22	8	7	7	35:41	31
7	Papuk Orahovica	22	7	4	11	32:43	25
8	Varteks Varazdin (2011)	22	6	4	12	20:39	22
9	NK Koprivnica	22	3	8	11	24:43	17
10	Virovitica	22	5	2	15	25:52	17
11	Podravac Virje	22	4	4	14	23:50	16
12	Rudar Mursko Sredisce	22	4	4	14	25:56	16