Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rudar Trbovlje vs Bistrc

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Rudar Trbovlje and Bistrc finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rudar Trbovlje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Rudar Trbovlje
15%
Draws
26%
Bistrc
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rudar Trbovlje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Rudar Trbovlje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Rudar Trbovlje taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Rudar Trbovlje have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Rudar Trbovlje Clean Sheet 16%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rudar Trbovlje Bistrc
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.07 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Rudar Trbovlje
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 3. SNL - West
Rudar Trbovlje vs Bistrc
5:2
Apr 26, 2025 3. SNL - West
Rudar Trbovlje vs Bistrc
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Rudar Trbovlje
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudar Trbovlje 84 / 100
Bistrc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rudar Trbovlje Bistrc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rudar Trbovlje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rudar Trbovlje scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Bistrc has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rudar Trbovlje remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rudar Trbovlje VS Bistrc
1 Goals Scored 1.29
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.14
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Rudar Trbovlje

(Home)
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
13 Sept
Rudar Trbovlje
1 : 3
Dob
06 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Rudar Trbovlje
29 Aug
Rudar Trbovlje
3 : 1
Adria Miren
22 Aug
Litija
1 : 2
Rudar Trbovlje
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Bistrc

(Away)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)