Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rudar vs Grosuplje

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Mestni stadion ob jezeru, Velenje
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Satchwell S.
8' Event
Matjaz S.
37' Event
Kljun T.

AI Match Summary

Grosuplje in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grosuplje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rudar
15%
Draws
21%
Grosuplje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rudar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grosuplje lately — more wins on the board than Rudar.
  • Rudar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rudar Clean Sheet 68%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rudar Grosuplje
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 2. SNL
Rudar vs Grosuplje
2:3
Sep 5, 2025 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Rudar
4:2
Mar 8, 2025 2. SNL
Rudar vs Grosuplje
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Rudar
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Rudar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rudar Compare

Top Goalscorer Satchwell S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kljun T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Matjaz S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikac L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudar 95 / 100
Grosuplje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rudar Grosuplje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rudar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Rudar found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Grosuplje let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Rudar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rudar VS Grosuplje
1.57 Goals Scored 1.75
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rudar

(Home)
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
29 Aug
Rudar
4 : 1
Bilje
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
14 Aug
Rudar
3 : 0
NK Krka
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Grosuplje

(Away)
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1
Celje
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2
Grosuplje
16 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Mura
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)