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Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL SC Rudes, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Belcar L.
23'
Belcar L.
23'
Belcar L.

AI Match Summary

Rudes in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rudes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rudes
20%
Draws
29%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rudes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rudes have won more games recently than Lok. Zagreb.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rudes Clean Sheet 10%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rudes Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 HNL
Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb
4:1
May 18, 2024 HNL
Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb
3:3
Mar 9, 2024 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Rudes
3:0
Dec 3, 2023 HNL
Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb
0:0
Sep 15, 2023 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Rudes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rudes Compare

Top Goalscorer Skoko N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xavi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudes 30 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rudes Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rudes scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Lok. Zagreb conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rudes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rudes VS Lok. Zagreb
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rudes

(Home)
09 Oct
HNK Gorica
1 : 2
Rudes
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
09 Sept
NK Koprivnica
2 : 3
Rudes
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
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Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
11 Oct
Lok. Zagreb
0 : 1
Varazdin
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
2 Din. Zagreb 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
3 Osijek 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 Rudes 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
10 HNK Gorica 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)