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Rudes vs Rijeka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL SC Rudes, Zagreb
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rudes host Rijeka in the HNL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Rudes have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Rijeka's 1.47 scored and 0.91 conceded. Head-to-head, Rudes have won 0 to Rijeka's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.06) point toward Rijeka. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Rudes
20%
Draws
57%
Rijeka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rijeka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Rijeka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Rijeka taking it.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rijeka have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Rudes Clean Sheet 10%
Rijeka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rudes Rijeka
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 HNL
Rijeka vs Rudes
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 HNL
Rudes vs Rijeka
0:3
Feb 28, 2024 Croatian Cup
Rudes vs Rijeka
0:1
Dec 16, 2023 HNL
Rijeka vs Rudes
3:0
Oct 1, 2023 HNL
Rudes vs Rijeka
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rudes 10 / 100
Rijeka 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rudes Rijeka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijeka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rudes scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Rijeka let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Rudes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rudes VS Rijeka
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rudes

(Home)
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
09 Sept
NK Koprivnica
2 : 3
Rudes
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0
Rudes
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Rijeka

(Away)
26 Sept
Rijeka
0 : 1
Union Berlin
20 Sept
Rijeka
3 : 0
Hajduk Split
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)