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Rugby Borough W vs Loughborough Lightning W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League North
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rugby Borough W host Loughborough Lightning W in the Women's National League North. This has Rugby Borough W written all over it on paper. Loughborough Lightning W have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Rugby Borough W have conceded 1 and scored 2.17. Head-to-head, Rugby Borough W have won 2 to Loughborough Lightning W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.19) point toward Rugby Borough W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Rugby Borough W
15%
Draws
21%
Loughborough Lightning W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rugby Borough W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Loughborough Lightning W haven't matched Rugby Borough W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rugby Borough W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Women's National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Rugby Borough W Clean Sheet 20%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugby Borough W Loughborough Lightning W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Women's National League North
Rugby Borough W vs Loughborough Lightning W
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Rugby Borough W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugby Borough W 85 / 100
Loughborough Lightning W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugby Borough W Loughborough Lightning W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rugby Borough W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rugby Borough W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Loughborough Lightning W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rugby Borough W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rugby Borough W VS Loughborough Lightning W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rugby Borough W

(Home)
18 Oct
Stoke City LFC W
0 : 3
Rugby Borough W
11 Oct
Rugby Borough W
5 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
04 Oct
Rugby Borough W
3 : 0
Liverpool Feds W
20 Sept
West Brom W
1 : 0
Rugby Borough W
13 Sept
Middlesbrough W
0 : 2
Rugby Borough W
Page 1 of 6

Loughborough Lightning W

(Away)
18 Oct
Loughborough Lightning W
0 : 2
Liverpool Feds W
11 Oct
West Brom W
3 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
04 Oct
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3
Norwich W
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3
Loughborough Lightning W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 8 7 0 1 20:2 21
2 West Brom W 8 6 0 2 15:7 18
3 Huddersfield W 8 5 2 1 21:12 17
4 Stoke City LFC W 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
5 Liverpool Feds W 8 4 0 4 16:14 12
6 Derby W 8 4 0 4 11:14 12
7 Peterborough W 8 4 0 4 11:18 12
8 Norwich W 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
9 Loughborough Lightning W 8 2 1 5 11:19 7
10 Boldmere St Michaels W 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
11 Middlesbrough W 8 1 1 6 3:10 4
12 Hull City W 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
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