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Rugby vs Leamington

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Wilson J.
53' Event
Kolodynski D.
90' Event
Motshweni K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Rugby and Leamington finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rugby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rugby
20%
Draws
40%
Leamington
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rugby come out ahead of Leamington on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leamington here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Rugby Clean Sheet 17%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugby Leamington
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
Rugby vs Leamington
3:0
Jul 26, 2013 Club Friendly
Rugby vs Leamington
2:4
Feb 2, 2010 Southern Premier League
Leamington vs Rugby
2:1
Aug 31, 2009 Southern Premier League
Rugby vs Leamington
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rugby Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolodynski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Leamington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugby 30 / 100
Leamington 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugby Leamington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rugby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leamington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Rugby found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Rugby stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leamington
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rugby

(Home)
03 Oct
Worcester
3 : 2
Rugby
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Rugby
4 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
26 Jul
Redditch
2 : 0
Rugby
19 Jul
Rugby
1 : 1
Alvechurch
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Leamington

(Away)
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0
Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1
Gainsborough
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1
Leamington
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2
Leamington
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