Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rugenbergen vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rugenbergen play Barmbek-Uhlenhorst in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. Rugenbergen are favorites here. Recently, Rugenbergen averaged 1.79 goals scored and 2 conceded. Barmbek-Uhlenhorst averaged 1.43 goals scored and 3.14 conceded. In past meetings, Rugenbergen won 2, Barmbek-Uhlenhorst won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 8, 2022 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Rugenbergen and 1.00 for Barmbek-Uhlenhorst. This points to a Rugenbergen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Rugenbergen
25%
Draws
15%
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Rugenbergen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Rugenbergen picked up more points recently compared to Barmbek-Uhlenhorst.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 23%
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rugenbergen Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
Matches Played 42 28
Wins 18 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.79 1.43
Goals Conceded 2 3.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
4:0
Mar 18, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Rugenbergen
2:4
Nov 29, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Rugenbergen
0:0
Apr 13, 2020 Oberliga Hamburg
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst vs Rugenbergen
0:0
Oct 13, 2019 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rugenbergen 59 / 100
Barmbek-Uhlenhorst 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rugenbergen Barmbek-Uhlenhorst

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rugenbergen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rugenbergen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rugenbergen attacking → ← attacking Barmbek-Uhlenhorst

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rugenbergen scored in 71% of their last 42 games.

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rugenbergen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 18
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00